A new report from the Planetary Guardians, developed by Systemiq, reveals that protecting the world’s three great rainforest regions is not just an environmental mission. It is a macroeconomic necessity and a matter of human security. 

Together, the Amazon, Congo, and Southeast Asia basins sustain the planet’s climate, regulate rainfall and underpin global food systems. The report Three Basins, One Lifeline warns that over 50% of global food production and up to 8% of global GDP is at risk by 2050 without urgent action, with economic losses exceeding US$1 trillion annually from crop failures and shortages. Tropical commodities such as coffee, cacao and others are heavily dependent on rainforest landscapes, with price volatility exceeding 100%, due to abnormal rainfall. 

Three Basins, One Lifeline Report

A global call to safeguard the Amazon, Congo, and Southeast Asia basins

The Three Basins hold 80% of the world’s remaining rainforests and two-thirds of its land biodiversity, yet only one-third of their original forest cover remains intact. These ecosystems absorb over 300 billion tonnes of carbonstabilise rainfall across continents, and supply freshwater for half of global food production. 

Unchecked deforestation threatens to unravel this delicate balance. Extreme weather, water scarcity, food shortages, and economic instability are accelerating and compounding risks – and the world’s poorest communities are on the frontlines. 

Reframing forests as an economic asset

The report reframes forest protection as a core investment in global economic resilience, not an optional act of environmental charity, and gives governments, investors and development banks the evidence and tools they need to act. 

Avoided deforestation is among the most cost-effective climate solutions available, delivering over 40% of low-cost emissions reductions at just US$20–50 per tonne of CO₂, seven to ten times cheaper than reforestation. 

Treating forest protection as essential infrastructure

The report calls for urgent and coordinated investment in nature as a form of global infrastructure. Key recommendations include: 

  • Investing in the Tropical Forest Forever Facility (TFFF) – a US$125 billion blended finance mechanism providing long-term, results-based payments to rainforest nations 
  • Reforming budgets and subsidies to align national spending with forest protection 
  • Scaling innovative finance tools such as green bonds and debt-for-nature swaps 
  • Embedding natural capital in GDP frameworks to reflect the true value of living ecosystems 
  • Empowering Indigenous Peoples and local communities as the most effective rainforest stewards 

The report walaunched aNew York Climate week alongside the Planetary Health Check 2025 and shows that the tools and finance to protect the planet’s rainforests already exist. What’s needed now is leadership and global cooperation. 

“The Amazon is nearing a tipping point where it could shift from rainforest to savannah. If that happens, it will unleash catastrophic consequences for the global climate system. Protecting the Three Basins is our last chance to preserve stability for future generations.”

Carlos NobreClimate Scientist and Planetary Guardian

“Communities in Borneo and across Southeast Asia are already experiencing the fallout from deforestation: fires, floods, and the erosion of livelihoods. The Three Basins One Lifeline is a call to put people and forests at the centre of our economic decisions because, without healthy forests, there can be no healthy societies.”

Farwiza FarhanEnvironmental Activist and Planetary Guardian

“Rainforest loss is a trillion-dollar risk for the global economy. Finance ministers cannot ignore that stability in markets, food systems, and societies depend on protecting these ecosystems. The Three Basins One Lifeline makes clear: investing in forests is investing in security, prosperity, and peace.”

Paul PolmanBusiness Leader and Planetary Guardian

“Rainforest health is not a peripheral concern, it is at the heart of food security, economic stability, and global peace. By protecting the Three Basins, we protect our collective lifeline.”

Hindou Oumarou IbrahimChair of the Planetary Guardians
 
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